Will the same person be both LA Mayor and CA Governor at any point? [ resolves 2027-11-03 (468D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra | 2027-11-03 | 63.0% | $19 | $2.6K | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…BEC | ||
| Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra | 2027-11-03 | 33.0% | — | $2.7K | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…BEC | ||
| Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton | 2027-11-03 | 9.0% | — | $179 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…HIL | ||
| Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton | 2027-11-03 | 7.0% | — | $146 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…HIL | ||
| Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer | 2027-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $72 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…STE | ||
| Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer | 2027-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $29 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…STE | ||
| Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra | 2027-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $42 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…BEC | ||
| Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer | 2027-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $9 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…STE | ||
| Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton | 2027-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $44 | A | KXCAGOVLAMAY…HIL |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Karen Bass wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Los Angeles Mayor (USELECTION), California Governor (USELECTION).
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics source of record venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics source of record venue-listed
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer wins for Nov 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-11 | 1% |
| NO | Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer wins for Nov 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-11 | 1% |
| NO | Will Los Angeles Mayor be Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Tom Steyer wins for Nov 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 1% |
| NO | Will Los Angeles Mayor be Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton wins for Nov 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 1% |
| NO | Will Los Angeles Mayor be Spencer Pratt wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 1% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcagovlamayor-26nov/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcagovlamayor-26nov |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcagovlamayor-26nov") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BLQX41PSV4",
"slug": "kxcagovlamayor-26nov",
"question": "Will the same person be both LA Mayor and CA Governor at any point?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-politics",
"los-angeles-mayor",
"governor-race",
"2027-election",
"combo-market"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5827,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
"url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}