CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the California Governor primary result in an exact tie or split decision among the top candidates by June 2026? [ resolved 2026-07-11 ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 48 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 100.0%
$14K
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$5
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$43
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$16
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$14
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$4
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$6
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$2
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$10
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$25
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$4
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$24
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$7
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$11
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$163
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$8
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$1
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$11
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$11
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…POR
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary 2026-07-11 0.0%
$0
B KXCAGOVPRIMA…MAH
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 48 markets · share this text
If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Tom Steyer (1st), Xavier Becerra (2nd), Steve Hilton (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Matt Mahan (5th), Katie Porter (6th), then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics"
sources (3) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
YES Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 100%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
NO Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? kalshi 2026-07-11 0%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (48 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcagovprimaryexact-26jun02/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcagovprimaryexact-26jun02
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxcagovprimaryexact-26jun02")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P8ZBC3HFH6",
  "slug": "kxcagovprimaryexact-26jun02",
  "question": "Will the California Governor primary result in an exact tie or split decision among the top candidates by June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "primary-election",
    "order-prediction",
    "us-governor"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 48,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 14565,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 70,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
      "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →