Will the top two vote-getters in the California 7th congressional district primary advance to the general election? [ resolved 2026-06-09 ]
Will Doris Matsui advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | $62 | $1.2K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…MAT | ||
| Mai Vang | 2026-06-09 | 100.0% | $1.7K | $9.0K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…VAN | ||
| Robert Morin | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | $1 | $1 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…MOR | ||
| Enayat Nazhat | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | $0 | $2 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…NAZ | ||
| Ralph Nwobi | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $100 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…NWO | ||
| Zachariah Wooden | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | $55 | $501 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…WOO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Doris Matsui advances in the 2026 CA-07 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Zachariah Wooden advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ralph Nwobi advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Enayat Nazhat advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Robert Morin advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| YES | Will Mai Vang advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 100% |
| YES | Will Doris Matsui advance in the 2026 CA-07 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (6 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaprimary-0726/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaprimary-0726 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaprimary-0726") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SL71SZTHN4",
"slug": "kxcaprimary-0726",
"question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the California 7th congressional district primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"california-primary",
"2026-midterms",
"house-race",
"primary-advancement"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10819,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}