Will the winner of the California's 33rd congressional district primary advance to the general election by 2024? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Antonis Christodoulou advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Aguilar advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 99.6% | $340 | $4.9K | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…AGU | ||
| Will Tom Herman advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 97.5% | $492 | $2.1K | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…HER | ||
| Will Antonis Christodoulou advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 3.5% | $1 | $5 | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…CHR | ||
| Will Stephanie Vargas advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 3.5% | $1 | $7 | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…VAR | ||
| Will Ernest Richter advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 2.6% | — | $2 | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…RIC | ||
| Will Eugene Weems advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 2.3% | — | $5 | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…WEE | ||
| Will Ling Ling Shi advance in the 2026 CA-33 primary | 2026-11-03 | 1.5% | — | $0 | A | KXCAPRIMARY-…SHI |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaprimary-3326/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaprimary-3326.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaprimary-3326") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-4NKG9TSSN7",
"slug": "kxcaprimary-3326",
"question": "Will the winner of the California's 33rd congressional district primary advance to the general election by 2024?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"primary-election",
"california",
"2026-election",
"house-of-representatives"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6972,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}