Will the California 42nd congressional district primary advance two candidates to the general election by the specified date? [ resolved 2026-06-09 ]
Will Robert Garcia advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Garcia | 2026-06-05 | 100.0% | — | $11K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…GAR | ||
| Brian Burley | 2026-06-08 | 100.0% | $469 | $1.4K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…BUR | ||
| Long Pham | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | $0 | $25 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…PHA | ||
| Larisa Vermeulen | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | — | $2 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…VER | ||
| Noah Von Blom | 2026-06-09 | 0.0% | $501 | $914 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…BLO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Robert Garcia advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Noah Von Blom advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Larisa Vermeulen advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Long Pham advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 0% |
| YES | Will Brian Burley advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will Robert Garcia advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-05 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaprimary-4226/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaprimary-4226 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaprimary-4226") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
"slug": "kxcaprimary-4226",
"question": "Will the California 42nd congressional district primary advance two candidates to the general election by the specified date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-politics",
"primary-election",
"2026-election",
"us-congress",
"electoral-advancement"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13345,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}