Will the Bank of Russia cut its key interest rate in June? [ resolves 2026-06-19 (16D) ]

Will the Bank of Russia Cut 50bps at the June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 7 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will the Bank of Russia Cut 50bps at the June Bank of Russia Board of…	2026-06-19	75.0%	$57	$6.0K	A	`KXCBDECISION…C50`
> 50	2026-06-19	14.0%	$1	$540	A	`KXCBDECISION…50P`
Will the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the June Bank of Russia Board…	2026-06-19	8.0%	—	$305	A	`KXCBDECISION…OLD`
Will the Bank of Russia Cut 25bps at the June Bank of Russia Board of…	2026-06-19	5.0%	—	$39	A	`KXCBDECISION…C25`
Will the Bank of Russia Hike 50bps at the June Bank of Russia Board of…	2026-06-19	2.0%	—	$10	A	`KXCBDECISION…H50`
> 50	2026-06-19	2.0%	—	$5	A	`KXCBDECISION…50P`
Will the Bank of Russia Hike 25bps at the June Bank of Russia Board of…	2026-06-19	1.0%	—	$4	A	`KXCBDECISION…25P`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	central bank	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 7 markets · share this text

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "central bank"

recent wire items

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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcbdecisionrussia-26jun19/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcbdecisionrussia-26jun19.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxcbdecisionrussia-26jun19")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FBG576MFX5",
  "slug": "kxcbdecisionrussia-26jun19",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Russia cut its key interest rate in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "central-bank-policy",
    "russia-economy",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6878,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "central bank",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →