Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2027-01 ]
Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the United States Senate | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the U.S. Senate confirms Erica Schwartz to the position of CDC director before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A confirmation is defined as a successful Senate confirmation vote where the nominee receives the constitutionally required majority. This includes confirmation by recorded roll call vote, voice vote, or unanimous consent. Nomination without Senate action, committee approval alone, recess appointments, acting appointments, withdrawn nominations, failed votes, and procedural votes that do not result in final confirmation do not satisfy the Payout Criterion. Confirmation to a different position than the one specified does not count.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the United States Senate" sources (2) · single authority
- the United States Senate source of record venue-listed
- the U.S. Senate from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | by 2026-08-08 | 1% |
| PENDING | Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | by 2026-07-08 | 8% |
| NO | Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director before Jun 1, 2026? | kalshi | by 2026-06-08 | 1% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcdcconf-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcdcconf-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcdcconf-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P5J9H9W002",
"slug": "kxcdcconf-27jan01",
"question": "Will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"executive-confirmation",
"cdc-leadership",
"2026",
"government-appointments"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7110,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "the United States Senate",
"resolution_source_url": "https://senate.gov",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the United States Senate",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the United States Senate",
"url": "https://senate.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the U.S. Senate",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}