Will Anthropic release Mythos by 2025? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 94.0% | $211 | $4.9K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…V01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 89.0% | $159 | $9.7K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…N01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 87.0% | $248 | $5.0K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…C01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 83.0% | $481 | $5.2K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…T01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 80.0% | $491 | $14K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…P01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 68.0% | $1.7K | $18K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…G01 | ||
| Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jul 1, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 21.0% | $1.9K | $12K | C | KXCLAUDE-MYT…L01 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxclaude-myth/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxclaude-myth.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxclaude-myth") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9PCCJDSZ26",
"slug": "kxclaude-myth",
"question": "Will Anthropic release Mythos by 2025?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"anthropic",
"ai-model-release",
"mythos",
"2026",
"product-launch",
"technology"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 68439,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 46,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://openai.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}