CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

CO-03 Republican nominee? [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Jeff Hurd 2026-07-01 100.0%
$14K
A KXCO03R-26-JHUR
Hope Scheppelman 2026-07-01 0.0%
$373
A KXCO03R-26-HSCH
Ron Hanks 2026-07-01 0.0%
$24
A KXCO03R-26-RHAN
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If Jeff Hurd wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 CO-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03? kalshi 2026-07-01 100%
NO Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Will Ron Hanks be the Republican nominee for CO-03? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxco03r-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxco03r-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxco03r-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J2BHMCY596",
  "slug": "kxco03r-26",
  "question": "CO-03 Republican nominee?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-2026",
    "colorado-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "nomination-race",
    "electoral-nomination"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 14705,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Republican Party",
      "url": "https://gop.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Democratic Party",
      "url": "https://democrats.org/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →