Will there be a new top coding AI this month? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 71.0% | $162 | $29K | B | KXCODEAI-26J…HAT | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 26.0% | $191 | $16K | B | KXCODEAI-26J…LAU | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | $22 | $558 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…IMI | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | — | $55 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…EMI | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | — | $49 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…ROK | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | — | $36 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…EEP | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | — | $17 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…IMO | ||
| Top Coding AI this month | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | — | $35 | B | KXCODEAI-26J…GLM |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | DeepSWE | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "DeepSWE" sources (2) · single authority
- DeepSWE source of record venue-listed
- Datacurve DeepSWE from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcodeai-26jul31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcodeai-26jul31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcodeai-26jul31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WF4VZS6Z99",
"slug": "kxcodeai-26jul31",
"question": "Will there be a new top coding AI this month?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"coding-ai",
"ai-performance",
"technology-2026",
"monthly-ranking",
"software-development"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45275,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "DeepSWE",
"resolution_source_url": "https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "DeepSWE",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "DeepSWE",
"url": "https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Datacurve DeepSWE",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}