Will specific universities be ranked in the top 20 of the US News university rankings? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (515D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | 2028-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $117 | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…VAN | ||
| UCLA | 2028-01-01 | 98.0% | — | $1.4K | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…UCL | ||
| Michigan | 2028-01-01 | 97.0% | — | $636 | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…MIC | ||
| Rice | 2028-01-01 | 95.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…RIC | ||
| Carnegie Mellon | 2028-01-01 | 66.0% | $20 | $1.5K | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…CMU | ||
| WashU | 2028-01-01 | 52.0% | — | $673 | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…-WU | ||
| Notre Dame | 2028-01-01 | 52.0% | — | $854 | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…-ND | ||
| Emory | 2028-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $766 | A | KXCOLLEGERAN…EMO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | U.S. News and World Report | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Carnegie Mellon achieves top 20 on U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings for 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this market, "top N" means an official published rank of N or better, regardless of how many total schools share ranks within that range.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "U.S. News and World Report" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
U.S. News and World Report committed source U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings from rules text
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcollegerank-top20/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcollegerank-top20 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcollegerank-top20") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-265JKQZ211",
"slug": "kxcollegerank-top20",
"question": "Will specific universities be ranked in the top 20 of the US News university rankings?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"us-news-rankings",
"higher-education",
"university-prestige",
"2028",
"academic-methodology"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7076,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "U.S. News and World Report",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/rankings/national-universities?_sort=rank&_sortDirection=asc",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "U.S. News and World Report",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "U.S. News and World Report",
"url": "https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/rankings/national-universities?_sort=rank&_sortDirection=asc",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "U.S. News & World Report's Best National Universities Rankings",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}