Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027) [ resolves 2026-09 – 2027-01 ]
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Waymo officially announces 1 million paid rides per week before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database" sources (28) · single authority
- the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database venue-listed
- Fox Business venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- CNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- Financial Times venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- company venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- MarketWatch venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- Yahoo Finance venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q) from rules text · editorial
- press releases from rules text · editorial
- earnings calls from rules text · editorial
- investor presentations from rules text · editorial
- verified social media accounts from rules text · editorial
- official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company from rules text · editorial
- CEO statements through official channels from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcompanyactionwaymo-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcompanyactionwaymo-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcompanyactionwaymo-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YQR2CSFZW1",
"slug": "kxcompanyactionwaymo-27",
"question": "Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"waymo",
"autonomous-vehicles",
"ridership-milestone",
"2026",
"business-metrics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6256,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database",
"resolution_source_url": "http://www.sec.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
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},
{
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},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "company",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MarketWatch",
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"provenance": "platform_api"
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{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Yahoo Finance",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
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{
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"url": null,
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{
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},
{
"name": "earnings calls",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "investor presentations",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "verified social media accounts",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company",
"url": null,
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},
{
"name": "CEO statements through official channels",
"url": null,
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],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
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},
"tags": {
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"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}