Will any companies conduct layoffs this year? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 2027-01-01 | 88.0% | — | $3.9K | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…SFT | ||
| Amazon | 2027-01-01 | 82.0% | — | $1.2K | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…MZN | ||
| Oracle | 2027-01-01 | 55.0% | $96 | $1.7K | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…RCL | ||
| Netflix | 2027-01-01 | 38.0% | $68 | $324 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…FLX | ||
| Alphabet | 2027-01-01 | 38.0% | — | $803 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…OOG | ||
| Tesla | 2027-01-01 | 37.0% | — | $131 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…SLA | ||
| TikTok | 2027-01-01 | 30.0% | — | $36 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…IKT | ||
| Apple | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $193 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…APL | ||
| NVIDIA | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $0 | $111 | B | KXCOMPANYLAY…VDA |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | MSNBC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If NVIDIA announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "MSNBC" sources (18) · single authority
MSNBC venue-listed MarketWatch venue-listed ABC News venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed The Washington Post venue-listed CBS News venue-listed company/entity committed source Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Fox News venue-listed CNBC venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed Politico venue-listed NBC News venue-listed Bloomberg News venue-listed Reuters venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENDING | Will Microsoft issue layoffs this year? | kalshi | by 2027-01-01 | 88% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcompanylayoff-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcompanylayoff-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcompanylayoff-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LDRV47XMC8",
"slug": "kxcompanylayoff-27jan01",
"question": "Will any companies conduct layoffs this year?",
"category": "companies",
"tags": [
"companies",
"layoffs",
"tech-employment",
"corporate-workforce",
"2027",
"event-occurrence"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8405,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "MSNBC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "company/entity",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MarketWatch",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC News",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS News",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "company/entity",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC News",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}