Will anyone testify in front of Congress in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 14 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth | 2027-01-01 | 98.1% | — | $612 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…HEG | ||
| Anthony Fauci | 2027-01-01 | 89.0% | — | $1.0K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…FAU | ||
| Sam Altman | 2027-01-01 | 54.0% | — | $1.8K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…ALT | ||
| Shou Zi Chew | 2027-01-01 | 49.0% | — | $2.8K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…CHE | ||
| Mark Zuckerberg | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | $2 | $2.8K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…ZUC | ||
| James Donaldson | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | $6 | $79 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…DON | ||
| Jerome Powell | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | — | $1.4K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…POW | ||
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | $11 | $6.1K | A | KXCONGRESSTE…MAX | ||
| Jon Stewart | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $49 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…STE | ||
| Barack Obama | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $78 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…OBA | ||
| Taylor Swift | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $20 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…SWI | ||
| Joe Biden | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $28 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…BID | ||
| Kamala Harris | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $29 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…HAR | ||
| Jelly Roll | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $16 | A | KXCONGRESSTE…ROL |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Sam Altman has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
In-person, remote, and/or virtual testimony during an official hearing or deposition of the House or Senate (including committees, subcommittees, and joint committees) qualifies. Testifying in a closed-door session also qualifies.
Submitting written testimony without appearing live does not qualify. Statements made outside of an official committee hearing, such as informal briefings, media events on Capitol grounds, or personal statements to individual members of Congress, do not satisfy the criterion.
Clarification (2/6/26): A person will be considered to have “testified in front of Congress” if they provide live testimony in an official House or Senate committee proceeding, including a committee deposition, whether held in a public hearing or a closed-door session, so long as the person appears live (in-person or remotely) and provides testimony under committee authority.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
- Library of Congress source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Pete Hegseth testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027? | kalshi | 2027-01-01 | 98% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcongresstestify-27jan/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcongresstestify-27jan |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcongresstestify-27jan") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-89FFV9HVS3",
"slug": "kxcongresstestify-27jan",
"question": "Will anyone testify in front of Congress in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"congress-testimony",
"political-events",
"2027-resolution",
"executive-accountability",
"legislative-oversight"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 16853,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}