CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Democratic nominee for Colorado's 1st congressional district be determined by November 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-11 ]

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Melat Kiros 2026-07-01 100.0%
$25 $6.3K
A KXCOPRIMARY-…KIR
Diana DeGette 2026-11-03 55.0%
$22 $7.9K
A KXCOPRIMARY-…DEG
Wanda James 2026-11-03 0.1%
$8
A KXCOPRIMARY-…JAM
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If Diana DeGette wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 CO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? kalshi 2026-07-01 100%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-06-30T10:55:12+00:00 volume-spike
    Kiros commands strong capital backing for the CO-01 Democratic nod 78% · $70K 24h
    • Kalshi at 78%, strong front-runner status with meaningful doubt still priced.
    • 24h volume $70K is 25% of all-time, a healthy mid-cycle positioning surge.
    • Colorado's 1st District primary is approaching; fresh flows suggest sharpening consensus.
    • 22% residual uncertainty leaves room for a challenger scenario or late news.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcoprimary-01d26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcoprimary-01d26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxcoprimary-01d26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q1BHRBLKP7",
  "slug": "kxcoprimary-01d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Colorado's 1st congressional district be determined by November 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house",
    "colorado",
    "2026-midterms",
    "democratic-primary",
    "nomination"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 14225,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Republican Party",
      "url": "https://gop.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Democratic Party",
      "url": "https://democrats.org/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →