Will the Consumer Price Index be released for November? [ resolves 2027-03-11 (219D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ -0.1% | 2027-03-11 | 90.0% | — | $3.3K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T-0.1 | ||
| ≥ 0% | 2027-03-11 | 99.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.0 | ||
| ≥ 0.1% | 2027-03-11 | 81.0% | — | $1.8K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.1 | ||
| ≥ 0.2% | 2027-03-11 | 92.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.2 | ||
| ≥ 0.3% | 2027-03-11 | 99.0% | — | $2.1K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.3 | ||
| ≥ 0.4% | 2027-03-11 | 93.0% | — | $2.5K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.4 | ||
| ≥ 0.5% | 2027-03-11 | 89.0% | — | $3.8K | A | KXCPI-26NOV-T0.5 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
recent wire items
- November CPI seen rising, odds cluster near 0.1-0.2 percent Kalshi ladder
- Kalshi ladder pins November 2026 CPI month-over-month in the 0.1-0.2% range: 88% above -0.1%, 63% above 0.1%, only 46% above 0.2%.
- Trading volume on the Kalshi November CPI ladder surged roughly 1,984x day over day, signaling intense fresh attention as earnings week spotlights inflation.
- The sharp drop from 63% above 0.1% to only 22% above 0.3% shows the market prices a mild but positive print, not a hot overshoot.
- The October CPI Kalshi ladder (CM-EVT-N58KJP0K82) implies 0.2-0.3% with volume also up 217x, suggesting the market prices sequential mild acceleration into year-end.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcpi-26nov/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcpi-26nov |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcpi-26nov") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-T57DHL6V48",
"slug": "kxcpi-26nov",
"question": "Will the Consumer Price Index be released for November?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"inflation",
"cpi",
"november-2026",
"us-economics",
"economic-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 16824,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Source Agency",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}