Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (26D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 10 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	96.0%	$464	$22K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…RES`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	74.0%	$234	$53K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…LAR`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	73.0%	$114	$34K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…ALO`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	51.0%	$5	$13K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…MIC`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	37.0%	—	$8.1K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…KLO`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	10.0%	—	$1.7K	C	`KXCRITICALIT…ANT`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	5.0%	—	$224	C	`KXCRITICALIT…IAL`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	4.0%	—	$87	C	`KXCRITICALIT…AST`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	1.0%	—	$45	C	`KXCRITICALIT…EEP`
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026	2026-08-01	1.0%	—	$38	C	`KXCRITICALIT…URA`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	the International Atomic Energy Agency	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 10 markets · share this text

If Aalo Atomics achieves criticality before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "the International Atomic Energy Agency"

sources (23) · single authority

the International Atomic Energy Agency source of record venue-listed
company's official social media accounts venue-listed
World Nuclear News venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
Energy Central venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
company Chief Executive Officer venue-listed
Nuclear News venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
Bloomberg News venue-listed
Utility Dive venue-listed
company's official website venue-listed
company's SEC filings venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
company venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
Nuclear Engineering International venue-listed

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcriticality-26aug/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcriticality-26aug`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxcriticality-26aug")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N7GQBKNGS8",
  "slug": "kxcriticality-26aug",
  "question": "Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nuclear-power",
    "reactor-criticality",
    "2026",
    "energy-technology",
    "company-milestone"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 131622,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 52,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "the International Atomic Energy Agency",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "the International Atomic Energy Agency",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the International Atomic Energy Agency",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company's official social media accounts",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "World Nuclear News",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Energy Central",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company Chief Executive Officer",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Nuclear News",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Utility Dive",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company's official website",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company's SEC filings",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Nuclear Engineering International",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →