Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janeese Lewis George · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 90.5% | $2.5K | $33K | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-JGEO | ||
| Kenyan McDuffie · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 12.0% | $60 | $4.1K | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-KMCD | ||
| Rini Sampath · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 4.0% | — | $1 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-RSAM | ||
| Muriel Bowser · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $2 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-MBOW | ||
| Robert White Jr. · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-RWHI | ||
| Brianne K. Nadeau · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BNAD | ||
| Gary Goodweather · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $3 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-GGOO | ||
| Karl Racine · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-KRAC | ||
| Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-CHEN | ||
| Zachary Parker · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-ZPAR | ||
| Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-PMEN | ||
| Brooke Pinto · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BPIN | ||
| Brian Schwalb · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BSCH |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Muriel Bowser wins the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" sources (7) · stated precedence rule
- relevant county clerk or board of elections source of record venue-listed
- Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
- relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer venue-listed
- the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
- state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdcmayord-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdcmayord-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdcmayord-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GNVQRHDX77",
"slug": "kxdcmayord-26",
"question": "Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"mayoral-election",
"washington-dc",
"democratic-primary",
"2026-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37524,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Attorney General of the United States",
"url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Election Commission",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}