Will a specific candidate win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janeese Lewis George · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 75.0% | $59 | $19K | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-JGEO | ||
| Kenyan McDuffie · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 27.0% | $113 | $5.2K | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-KMCD | ||
| Muriel Bowser · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $2 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-MBOW | ||
| Robert White Jr. · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $3 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-RWHI | ||
| Brianne K. Nadeau · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BNAD | ||
| Gary Goodweather · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $3 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-GGOO | ||
| Karl Racine · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-KRAC | ||
| Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-CHEN | ||
| Zachary Parker · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-ZPAR | ||
| Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-PMEN | ||
| Brooke Pinto · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BPIN | ||
| Brian Schwalb · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-BSCH | ||
| Rini Sampath · Who will win the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXDCMAYORD-26-RSAM |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Muriel Bowser wins the 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdcmayord-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdcmayord-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdcmayord-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GNVQRHDX77",
"slug": "kxdcmayord-26",
"question": "Will a specific candidate win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"mayoral-election",
"washington-dc",
"democratic-primary",
"2026-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23868,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}