Will progressives sweep the Democratic Senate primaries? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]

Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections	2026-11-03	56.0%		$31	$29K		A	`KXDEMPROGRES…V03`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Bloomberg	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 1 market · share this text

If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primary elections: Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow OR Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and Ed Markey in Massachusetts, then the market resolves to Yes. This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bloomberg"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTBT00NHW6",
  "slug": "kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03",
  "question": "Will progressives sweep the Democratic Senate primaries?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "democratic-primaries",
    "progressive-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "primary-elections"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 29495,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bloomberg",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →