Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2027-01 ]
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Donald Trump | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must:
Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh
The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner
The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context
Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Donald Trump" sources (15)
- Donald Trump venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- New York Times venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- the White House venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jul 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdjtattackwarsh-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdjtattackwarsh-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdjtattackwarsh-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
"slug": "kxdjtattackwarsh-27",
"question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-criticism",
"kevin-warsh",
"public-statements",
"politics-2026",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6660,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Donald Trump",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Donald Trump",
"url": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the White House",
"url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}