CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027?

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027 2027-01-01 55.0%
$22 $4.0K
C KXDJTATTACKW…JAN
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jul 2026 2027-01-01 19.0%
$24 $3.0K
C KXDJTATTACKW…JUL
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Donald Trump not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Donald Trump"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdjtattackwarsh-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdjtattackwarsh-27.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxdjtattackwarsh-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
  "slug": "kxdjtattackwarsh-27",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-criticism",
    "kevin-warsh",
    "public-statements",
    "politics-2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7019,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 48,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "adversarial_ground_truth"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Donald Trump",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →