Federal Reserve median dot plot projection, June 17, 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-17 (14D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 3% | 2026-06-17 | 96.0% | — | $108 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.0 | ||
| ≥ 3.1% | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $52 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.1 | ||
| ≥ 3.2% | 2026-06-17 | 98.0% | — | $98 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.2 | ||
| ≥ 3.3% | 2026-06-17 | 98.0% | — | $102 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.3 | ||
| ≥ 3.4% | 2026-06-17 | 84.0% | — | $2.6K | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.4 | ||
| ≥ 3.5% | 2026-06-17 | 77.0% | — | $2.0K | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.5 | ||
| ≥ 3.6% | 2026-06-17 | 10.0% | — | $97 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.6 | ||
| ≥ 3.7% | 2026-06-17 | 6.0% | — | $47 | A | KXDOTPLOT-26…3.7 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Federal Reserve Board of Governors | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Federal Reserve Board of Governors" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdotplot-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdotplot-26jun.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdotplot-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7T2GP868Y0",
"slug": "kxdotplot-26jun",
"question": "Federal Reserve median dot plot projection, June 17, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"fed-policy",
"interest-rates",
"economic-forecasting",
"dot-plot",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5066,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}