Will the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) close higher than the previous day's close? [ resolves 2026-08-06 (2D) ]
Will the U.S. Dollar Index be above 99.7284 at 1:59 PM ET on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 99.7284 | 2026-08-06 | 84.0% | $6.5K | $6.5K | C | KXDXYDUD-26A…284 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Pyth | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxdxydud-26aug04/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxdxydud-26aug04 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxdxydud-26aug04") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TGQPYHW3F9",
"slug": "kxdxydud-26aug04",
"question": "Will the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) close higher than the previous day's close?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"dxy",
"forex",
"intraday-volatility",
"daily-binary",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6538,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Pyth",
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DDXY%26state%3Dstable",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Pyth",
"url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3DDXY%26state%3Dstable",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}