Will core CPI increase month-over-month in November 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-10 (140D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 97.0% | — | $1.9K | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.5 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 50.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.1 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 44.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.3 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 37.0% | — | $779 | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.2 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 6.0% | — | $0 | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.2 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 5.0% | $10 | $112 | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.4 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 4.0% | $16 | $33 | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.0 | ||
| CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026 | 2026-12-10 | 1.0% | — | $20 | A | KXECONSTATCP…0.1 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeconstatcpicore-26nov/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeconstatcpicore-26nov |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxeconstatcpicore-26nov") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VX8TXMY047",
"slug": "kxeconstatcpicore-26nov",
"question": "Will core CPI increase month-over-month in November 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"inflation-cpi",
"us-economics",
"monthly-data",
"2026",
"macroeconomic-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5212,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}