Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year change in June 2026 be below 3%? [ resolved 2026-07-14 ]

{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-46SP3GT7N4",
  "slug": "kxeconstatcpiyoy-26jun",
  "question": "Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year change in June 2026 be below 3%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "us-economic-data",
    "cpi",
    "2026",
    "macroeconomics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 26,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 41399,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}