Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate in May 2026 be below 3%? [ resolves 2026-06-10 (7D) ]
CPI year-over-year in May 2026?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 26 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 41.0% | $230 | $5.0K | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.2 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 41.0% | $16 | $5.0K | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.3 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 20.0% | — | $17K | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.3 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 10.0% | $61 | $1.0K | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.4 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 6.0% | $12 | $1.1K | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.1 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 4.0% | — | $581 | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.0 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 3.0% | — | $205 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.6 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 3.0% | — | $274 | B | KXECONSTATCP…4.5 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 2.0% | — | $10K | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.8 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 2.0% | — | $622 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.4 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 2.0% | — | $145 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.7 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.6K | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.0 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.1 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $38 | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.2 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $47 | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.3 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $72 | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.4 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $861 | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.5 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $70 | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.6 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.0K | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.7 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $2.4K | B | KXECONSTATCP…2.9 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.0 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.1K | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.1 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $51 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.2 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $1.3K | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.5 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $102 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.8 | ||
| CPI year-over-year in May 2026 | 2026-06-10 | 1.0% | — | $97 | B | KXECONSTATCP…3.9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-680PYKKLZ6",
"slug": "kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may",
"question": "Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate in May 2026 be below 3%?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-inflation",
"cpi",
"economic-data",
"may-2026",
"macroeconomics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 26,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 53319,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 70,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}