CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate in May 2026 be below 3%? [ resolved 2026-06-10 ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 26 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 100.0%
$230 $5.0K
B KXECONSTATCP…4.2
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.6K
B KXECONSTATCP…2.0
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.7K
B KXECONSTATCP…2.1
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$38
B KXECONSTATCP…2.2
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$47
B KXECONSTATCP…2.3
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$72
B KXECONSTATCP…2.4
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$861
B KXECONSTATCP…2.5
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$70
B KXECONSTATCP…2.6
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.0K
B KXECONSTATCP…2.7
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$10K
B KXECONSTATCP…2.8
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$2.4K
B KXECONSTATCP…2.9
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.7K
B KXECONSTATCP…3.0
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.1K
B KXECONSTATCP…3.1
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$51
B KXECONSTATCP…3.2
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$17K
B KXECONSTATCP…3.3
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$622
B KXECONSTATCP…3.4
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$1.3K
B KXECONSTATCP…3.5
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$205
B KXECONSTATCP…3.6
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$145
B KXECONSTATCP…3.7
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$102
B KXECONSTATCP…3.8
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$97
B KXECONSTATCP…3.9
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$581
B KXECONSTATCP…4.0
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$12 $1.1K
B KXECONSTATCP…4.1
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$16 $5.0K
B KXECONSTATCP…4.3
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$61 $1.0K
B KXECONSTATCP…4.4
CPI year-over-year in May 2026 2026-06-10 0.0%
$274
B KXECONSTATCP…4.5
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 26 markets · share this text
If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
YES CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 100%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
NO CPI year-over-year in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-10 0%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (26 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-680PYKKLZ6",
  "slug": "kxeconstatcpiyoy-26may",
  "question": "Will the Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate in May 2026 be below 3%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-inflation",
    "cpi",
    "economic-data",
    "may-2026",
    "macroeconomics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 26,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 53319,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 70,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": null,
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →