CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the unemployment rate in May 2026 be above 5%? [ resolved 2026-06-05 ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 23 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 100.0%
$573 $2.6K
A KXECONSTATU3…4.3
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
A KXECONSTATU3…3.3
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$4
A KXECONSTATU3…3.4
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
A KXECONSTATU3…3.5
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
A KXECONSTATU3…3.6
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
A KXECONSTATU3…3.7
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…3.8
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$14
A KXECONSTATU3…3.9
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$9 $26
A KXECONSTATU3…4.0
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$233
A KXECONSTATU3…4.1
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$26 $1.1K
A KXECONSTATU3…4.2
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$411 $1.2K
A KXECONSTATU3…4.4
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$177
A KXECONSTATU3…4.5
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$59
A KXECONSTATU3…4.6
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$6
A KXECONSTATU3…4.7
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…4.8
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…4.9
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…5.0
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…5.1
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…5.2
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…5.3
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$1 $1
A KXECONSTATU3…5.4
Unemployment rate in May 2026 2026-06-05 0.0%
$0
A KXECONSTATU3…5.5
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 23 markets · share this text
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
YES Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 100%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
NO Unemployment rate in May 2026? kalshi 2026-06-05 0%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (23 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxeconstatu3-26may/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxeconstatu3-26may
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxeconstatu3-26may")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SB297YBH40",
  "slug": "kxeconstatu3-26may",
  "question": "Will the unemployment rate in May 2026 be above 5%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "labor-market",
    "us-economics",
    "monthly-indicator",
    "2026",
    "bls-data"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 23,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5467,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": null,
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →