Will Candace Owens endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? [ resolved 2026-08-18 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $479 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…DES | ||
| Matt Walsh | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $293 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…WAL | ||
| Candace Owens | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $4.7K | C | KXENDORSEFIS…OWE | ||
| Dave Rubin | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $3 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…RUB | ||
| Laura Loomer | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $29 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…LOO | ||
| Chaya Raichik | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $0 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…RAI | ||
| James Uthmeier | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $11 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…UTH | ||
| Donald Trump | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $19 | $558 | C | KXENDORSEFIS…DJT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Ron DeSantis publicly endorses James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
platform source field
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Donald Trump endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Chaya Raichik endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will James Uthmeier endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Dave Rubin endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Candace Owens endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ron DeSantis endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Laura Loomer endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Matt Walsh endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-18 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxendorsefishback-26aug18/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxendorsefishback-26aug18 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxendorsefishback-26aug18") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YP9NSQG7K3",
"slug": "kxendorsefishback-26aug18",
"question": "Will Candace Owens endorse James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) before Aug 18, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"political-endorsements",
"2026-election",
"james-fishback",
"candidate-support",
"florida-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6101,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}