Will specific individuals be named in Epstein files released by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 80.0% | $143 | $4.1K | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…DJT | ||
| Hillary Clinton · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 60.0% | — | $442 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…CLI | ||
| Woody Allen · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 56.0% | $2 | $1.5K | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…ALL | ||
| Bill Clinton · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 55.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…CLI | ||
| Joe Biden · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 41.0% | $46 | $559 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…BID | ||
| Alec Baldwin · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 41.0% | — | $859 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…BAL | ||
| Sean Combs · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 39.0% | $10 | $529 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…COM | ||
| Kevin Spacey · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 32.0% | — | $746 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…SPA | ||
| Ehud Barak · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 30.0% | — | $118 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…BAR | ||
| Bill Gates · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $468 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…GAT | ||
| Prince Andrew · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 24.0% | $20 | $124 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…AND | ||
| Naomi Campbell · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $9 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…CAM | ||
| Kamala Harris · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $7 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…HAR | ||
| Barack Obama · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $53 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…OBA | ||
| Michael Jackson · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $5 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…JAC | ||
| Leonardo DiCaprio · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $1 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…DIC | ||
| Rupert Murdoch · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $7 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…MUR | ||
| Stephen Hawking · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $11 | B | KXEPSTEINLIS…HAW |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Donald Trump is considered to appear in the documents when either the exact term, phrase, or name specified appears in the content of the documents, or is present by way of commonly used abbreviation, direct synonym, or unmistakable reference including in any official appendices, footnotes, or tables.
The documents must be publicly released after Issuance and before the expiration date. If a document is publicly released for the first time after Issuance, it is considered novel in its entirety. For example, a newly released email containing a previously published news article as an attachment counts. However, documents that were already fully public do not count.
Documents directly issued and officially published by the relevant institution or entity count, leaks of the documents count, and media coverage by Source Agencies count, unless otherwise specified by the Exchange. If the documents are revised after publication, all publicly released versions prior to Expiration will be used. If a correction or update nullifies the appearance of Donald Trump, the market may still resolve to Yes based on original reporting.
The release time of the documents is noted to be when the documents are made available to the public either directly or through third-party media reports. If the documents are heavily redacted, only visible, legible, and unambiguous references count. "Documents" may include, but is not limited to: specific documents or sets of documents, conversations, meetings, or communications, draft documents, proposals, or internal deliberations, court filings, depositions, orders, and exhibits; officially unsealed records from prior sealed proceedings
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxepsteinlist-27jan/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxepsteinlist-27jan.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxepsteinlist-27jan") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MW5F5NTZT9",
"slug": "kxepsteinlist-27jan",
"question": "Will specific individuals be named in Epstein files released by the end of 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"epstein-files",
"legal-disclosure",
"document-release",
"politics-scandal",
"2027-resolution"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11301,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}