ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $97K | A | KXETHY-27JAN….00 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $93K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…125 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 11.3% | $0 | $112K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…375 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | — | $89K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…625 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 6.9% | $21 | $77K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…875 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 7.2% | $0 | $89K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…125 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 5.1% | $22 | $62K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…375 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 5.5% | — | $63K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…625 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 3.1% | — | $33K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…875 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $31K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…125 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 2.1% | — | $1.9K | A | KXETHY-27JAN…375 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.5% | — | $648 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…625 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.4% | — | $396 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…875 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.2% | — | $332 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…125 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $232 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…375 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.3% | — | $401 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…625 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 6.1% | — | $51K | A | KXETHY-27JAN….99 | ||
| ETH price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $382 | A | KXETHY-27JAN…875 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is below 1000.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" sources (3) · single authority
- CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
- CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI from rules text · editorial
- CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxethy-27jan0100/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxethy-27jan0100 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxethy-27jan0100") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-M6M011NKR6",
"slug": "kxethy-27jan0100",
"question": "ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"ethereum",
"price-prediction",
"crypto-markets",
"eoy-2026",
"eth-usd"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 801687,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}