Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting? [ resolves 2026-12-09 (189D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 2.75% | 2026-12-09 | 85.0% | $4 | $13K | A | KXFED-26DEC-T2.75 | ||
| ≥ 3% | 2026-12-09 | 73.0% | — | $2.8K | A | KXFED-26DEC-T3.00 | ||
| ≥ 3.25% | 2026-12-09 | 67.0% | — | $7.0K | A | KXFED-26DEC-T3.25 | ||
| ≥ 3.5% | 2026-12-09 | 65.0% | — | $13K | A | KXFED-26DEC-T3.50 | ||
| ≥ 3.75% | 2026-12-09 | 59.0% | — | $842 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T3.75 | ||
| ≥ 4% | 2026-12-09 | 28.0% | — | $200 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T4.00 | ||
| ≥ 4.25% | 2026-12-09 | 12.0% | $0 | $233 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T4.25 | ||
| ≥ 4.5% | 2026-12-09 | 5.0% | — | $25 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T4.50 | ||
| ≥ 4.75% | 2026-12-09 | 10.0% | — | $32 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T4.75 | ||
| ≥ 5% | 2026-12-09 | 2.0% | — | $5 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T5.00 | ||
| ≥ 5.25% | 2026-12-09 | 11.0% | — | $56 | A | KXFED-26DEC-T5.25 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Federal Reserve Board of Governors | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Federal Reserve Board of Governors" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfed-26dec/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfed-26dec.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfed-26dec") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MR57HVWJT3",
"slug": "kxfed-26dec",
"question": "Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"fed-funds-rate",
"monetary-policy",
"interest-rates",
"federal-reserve",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37322,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}