Will someone be charged with a federal crime in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will Letitia James be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 40 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Raúl Castro be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	99.4%	—	$21K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CAS`
Will James Comey be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	98.9%	—	$49K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…COM`
Will John Brennan be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	53.0%	$5	$13K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…BRE`
Will Letitia James be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	50.0%	$124	$19K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…JAM`
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	49.0%	$107	$41K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…OMA`
Will E. Jean Carroll be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	39.0%	$1	$781	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CAR`
Will Adam Schiff be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	29.0%	$2	$6.8K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…SCH`
Will Peter Strzok be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	28.0%	$30	$1.6K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…STR`
Will Jack Smith be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	28.0%	$6	$7.4K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…SMI`
Will Fani Willis be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	25.0%	—	$746	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…WIL`
Will George Soros be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	25.0%	—	$152	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…SOR`
Will James Clapper be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	24.0%	$2	$3.6K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CLA`
Will Lisa Cook be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	21.0%	$2	$1.3K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…COO`
Will Anthony Fauci be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	20.0%	$19	$7.2K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…FAU`
Will Chris Krebs be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	17.0%	—	$189	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…KRE`
Will Andrew Weissmann be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	17.0%	—	$11	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…WEI`
Will Christopher Wray be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	15.0%	$3	$741	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…WRA`
Will Hunter Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	15.0%	$4	$1.3K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…BID`
Will Joe Kent be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	15.0%	—	$194	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…KEN`
Will Mark Milley be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	14.0%	—	$701	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…MIL`
Will Alvin Bragg be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	12.0%	—	$397	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…BRA`
Will Keith Ellison be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	12.0%	—	$865	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…ELL`
Will Jacob Frey be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	12.0%	$0	$924	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…FRE`
Will Liz Cheney be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	11.0%	—	$723	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CHE`
Will Elissa Slotkin be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	11.0%	—	$170	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…SLO`
Will Hillary Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	10.0%	$20	$2.9K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CLI`
Will Tucker Carlson be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	10.0%	—	$383	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CAR`
Will Gustavo Petro be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	10.0%	—	$726	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…PET`
Will Bill Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	9.9%	$4	$3.6K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CLI`
Will Pam Bondi be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.9%	$5	$1.3K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…BON`
Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.8%	$4	$20K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…WAL`
Will Mark Kelly be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.7%	$23	$980	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…KEL`
Will Jerome Powell be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	8.0%	$2	$1.3K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…POW`
Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	7.5%	$72	$4.6K	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…OBA`
Will Joe Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	7.5%	—	$416	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…BID`
Will Chris Christie be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	6.0%	—	$221	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…CHR`
Will Miles Taylor be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…TAY`
Will Lisa Monaco be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…MON`
Will Reid Hoffman be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…HOF`
Will Cassidy Hutchinson be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	A	`KXFEDERALCHA…HUT`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	ABC	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 40 markets · share this text

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Charges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"

recent wire items

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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfederalcharge-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfederalcharge-27jan01.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxfederalcharge-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
  "slug": "kxfederalcharge-27jan01",
  "question": "Will someone be charged with a federal crime in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "federal-charges",
    "us-politics",
    "criminal-justice",
    "2026",
    "political-figures"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 40,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 216764,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →