Who will chair the June FOMC meeting? [ resolved 2026-06-17 ]

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 8 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Kevin Warsh	2026-06-17	100.0%	$4	$78K	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…WAR`
Jerome Powell	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$80	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…POW`
Philip Jefferson	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$10	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…JEF`
John Williams	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$3	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…WIL`
Christopher Waller	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$2	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…WAL`
Judy Shelton	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$21	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…SHE`
Michelle Bowman	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$8	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…BOW`
Stephen Miran	2026-06-17	0.0%	—	$12	A	`KXFEDLEADJUN…MIR`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	official organizational website where role is housed	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 8 markets · share this text

If Kevin Warsh officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following: - Kevin Warsh has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) - Kevin Warsh is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) - Kevin Warsh is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified) The following do **NOT** constitute "officially holding" the role: - Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective - Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026 - Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026 - Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity - Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed - Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "official organizational website where role is housed"

sources (21) · single authority

official organizational website where role is housed source of record venue-listed
or company responsible for role venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
USAJobs.gov venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
person venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
agency venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
the Federal Register venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
official government website venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
Politico venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
Bloomberg News venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`100%`
NO	Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will Christopher Waller be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`
NO	Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-06-17`	`0%`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfedleadjune-26jun17/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfedleadjune-26jun17`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxfedleadjune-26jun17")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
  "slug": "kxfedleadjune-26jun17",
  "question": "Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?",
  "category": "politics",
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  "cumulative_volume_usd": 77932,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "official organizational website where role is housed",
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  "resolution_source_list": [
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    {
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      "name": "Politico",
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    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
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    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
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    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
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    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
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  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
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}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →