Will there be any dissenting votes at the July Federal Reserve meeting? [ resolves 2026-07-29 (6D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting | 2026-07-29 | 25.0% | $1.4K | $14K | A | KXFOMCDISSEN…L-0 | ||
| How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting | 2026-07-29 | 26.0% | $13 | $1.2K | A | KXFOMCDISSEN…L-1 | ||
| How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting | 2026-07-29 | 25.0% | $6 | $1.9K | A | KXFOMCDISSEN…L-2 | ||
| How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting | 2026-07-29 | 20.0% | $72 | $455 | A | KXFOMCDISSEN…L-3 | ||
| How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting | 2026-07-29 | 8.0% | $172 | $363 | A | KXFOMCDISSEN…L-4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If there are exactly 0 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" sources (18) · single authority
- ABC venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Federal Open Market Committee source of record venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- the Federal Reserve venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfomcdissentcount-26jul/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfomcdissentcount-26jul |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfomcdissentcount-26jul") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SKQ893TZY7",
"slug": "kxfomcdissentcount-26jul",
"question": "Will there be any dissenting votes at the July Federal Reserve meeting?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"fed-monetary-policy",
"voting-dissent",
"central-banking",
"economic-governance",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18178,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Federal Open Market Committee",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://semafor.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Reserve",
"url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}