CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Jon Ossoff's total campaign receipts for Q3 exceed the specified threshold? [ resolves 2026-11-15 (103D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $20,000,000 2026-11-15 99.0%
$7.6K
A KXFUNDRAISIN…000
≥ $25,000,000 2026-11-15 97.0%
$5.7K
A KXFUNDRAISIN…000
≥ $30,000,000 2026-11-15 67.0%
$2.6K
A KXFUNDRAISIN…000
≥ $35,000,000 2026-11-15 43.0%
$1.2K
A KXFUNDRAISIN…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff FEC not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 4 markets · share this text
If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $20 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "FEC"
sources (2) · single authority
  • FEC source of record venue-listed
  • Federal Election Commission (FEC) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfundraising-jossq326/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfundraising-jossq326
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxfundraising-jossq326")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DGTX29KVN3",
  "slug": "kxfundraising-jossq326",
  "question": "Will Jon Ossoff's total campaign receipts for Q3 exceed the specified threshold?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-elections",
    "campaign-fundraising",
    "georgia-politics",
    "2026-election-cycle",
    "q3-financial-reporting"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 17090,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "FEC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "FEC",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "FEC",
      "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Federal Election Commission (FEC)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →