The National Republican Senatorial Committee report M in cash on hand at the end of Q3 [ resolves 2026-11-20 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $15,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 91.0% | $1.8K | $1.8K | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $20,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 80.0% | $2.8K | $2.8K | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $25,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 74.0% | $989 | $991 | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $30,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 67.0% | $1.5K | $1.5K | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $35,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 46.0% | $547 | $550 | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $40,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 31.0% | $322 | $323 | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 | ||
| ≥ $45,000,000 | 2026-11-20 | 24.0% | $624 | $625 | A | KXFUNDRAISIN…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | FEC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the National Republican Senatorial Committee's cash on hand is above $15 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "FEC" sources (2) · single authority
- FEC source of record venue-listed
- Federal Election Commission (FEC) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxfundraising-nrscq326/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxfundraising-nrscq326 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxfundraising-nrscq326") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LV96GYCML0",
"slug": "kxfundraising-nrscq326",
"question": "The National Republican Senatorial Committee report M in cash on hand at the end of Q3",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"nrsc",
"campaign-finance",
"q3-2026",
"cash-on-hand",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8598,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "FEC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "FEC",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "FEC",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Federal Election Commission (FEC)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}