CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Georgia 13th District special election winner be determined by January 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Marcye Scott · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 82.0%
$5 $17K
A KXGA13S-26-MSCO
Everton Blair Jr. · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 9.0%
$8 $695
A KXGA13S-26-EBLA
Carlos Moore · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 2.0%
$54
A KXGA13S-26-CMOO
Tony Brown · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 1.0%
$12
A KXGA13S-26-TBRO
Caesar Gonzales · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 1.0%
$12
A KXGA13S-26-CGON
Fayth Park · Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? 2027-01-01 1.0%
$10
A KXGA13S-26-FPAR
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff relevant county clerk or board of elections not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 6 markets · share this text
If Everton Blair Jr. wins the 2026 GA-13 special election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? kalshi by 2027-01-01 1%
NO Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? kalshi by 2027-01-01 2%
NO Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? kalshi by 2027-01-01 1%
NO Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? kalshi by 2027-01-01 1%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxga13s-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxga13s-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxga13s-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZBKSDV105",
  "slug": "kxga13s-26",
  "question": "Will the Georgia 13th District special election winner be determined by January 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "georgia-politics",
    "special-election",
    "2027",
    "us-congress",
    "election-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 18085,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
      "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
      "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →