Will any elections in Georgia be won outright? [ resolves 2027-11-03 (518D) ]
Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election election in the first round?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Agriculture general election… | 2027-11-03 | 89.0% | — | $508 | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…COM | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Labor general election… | 2027-11-03 | 86.0% | — | $300 | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…COL | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election election in… | 2027-11-03 | 85.0% | — | $91 | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…-AG | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Insurance general election… | 2027-11-03 | 84.0% | — | $5.9K | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…COI | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia United States Senate general election election… | 2027-11-03 | 83.0% | — | $6.2K | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…SEN | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election election… | 2027-11-03 | 83.0% | — | $199 | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…SOS | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor general election election… | 2027-11-03 | 82.0% | — | $6.4K | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…GOV | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election election in the… | 2027-11-03 | 79.0% | — | $9.7K | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…GOV | ||
| Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia State School Superintendent general election… | 2027-11-03 | 79.0% | — | $134 | A | KXGA1ROUND-2…SUP |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | official electoral authority conducting election | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia United States Senate general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "official electoral authority conducting election" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxga1round-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxga1round-26nov03.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxga1round-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-795ZBNY640",
"slug": "kxga1round-26nov03",
"question": "Will any elections in Georgia be won outright?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"georgia-elections",
"runoff-mechanism",
"2027-resolution",
"us-politics",
"electoral-structure"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 29442,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "official electoral authority conducting election",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}