Will the Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee be announced by the 2026 general election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Fleming · Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | 2026-11-03 | 88.0% | $2.1K | $7.7K | A | KXGASOSR-26-TFLE | ||
| Vernon Jones · Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | 2026-11-03 | 12.0% | $12 | $497 | A | KXGASOSR-26-VJON | ||
| Gabriel Sterling · Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | 2026-11-03 | 10.0% | — | $522 | A | KXGASOSR-26-GSTE | ||
| Kelvin King · Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $3 | A | KXGASOSR-26-KKIN |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Gabriel Sterling wins 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is inclusive of any runoff that may take place if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the Republican primary.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" sources (7) · stated precedence rule
- relevant county clerk or board of elections venue-listed
- Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
- relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer venue-listed
- the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
- state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENDING | Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 10% |
| NO | Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (2 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgasosr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgasosr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgasosr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0D965J5R51",
"slug": "kxgasosr-26",
"question": "Will the Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee be announced by the 2026 general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"georgia-politics",
"2026-election",
"secretary-of-state",
"republican-primary",
"us-elections"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8768,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Attorney General of the United States",
"url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Election Commission",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}