Will Germany's nominal GDP in 2026 exceed its 2025 level? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4.7 | 2026-12-31 | 99.0% | — | $175 | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-4.7 | ||
| ≥ $4.9 | 2026-12-31 | 98.0% | — | $2.0K | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-4.9 | ||
| ≥ $5.1 | 2026-12-31 | 88.0% | — | $3.5K | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.1 | ||
| ≥ $5.3 | 2026-12-31 | 66.0% | — | $11 | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.3 | ||
| ≥ $5.5 | 2026-12-31 | 35.0% | — | $6 | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.5 | ||
| ≥ $5.7 | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | — | $2 | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.7 | ||
| ≥ $5.9 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.9 | ||
| ≥ $6.1 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-6.1 | ||
| ≥ $6.3 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-6.3 | ||
| ≥ $6.5 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | — | $0 | C | KXGDPNOM-GER26-6.5 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgdpnom-ger26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgdpnom-ger26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgdpnom-ger26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
"slug": "kxgdpnom-ger26",
"question": "Will Germany's nominal GDP in 2026 exceed its 2025 level?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"germany-economy",
"gdp-nominal",
"macroeconomics",
"2027-resolution",
"eurozone-metrics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5685,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 44,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}