Will GDP growth in 2026 exceed 2%? [ resolves 2027-02-28 (270D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 0.1 | 2027-02-28 | 4.6% | — | $1.6K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-T0.1 | ||
| 0.5 | 2027-02-28 | 3.0% | $94 | $413 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B0.3 | ||
| 1 | 2027-02-28 | 3.9% | $96 | $591 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B0.8 | ||
| 1.5 | 2027-02-28 | 15.0% | $15 | $1.3K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B1.3 | ||
| 2 | 2027-02-28 | 27.1% | $5 | $5.4K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B1.8 | ||
| 2.5 | 2027-02-28 | 24.0% | $20 | $3.9K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B2.3 | ||
| 3 | 2027-02-28 | 15.6% | — | $2.5K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B2.8 | ||
| 3.5 | 2027-02-28 | 4.4% | $5 | $1.2K | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B3.3 | ||
| 4 | 2027-02-28 | 1.1% | — | $171 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B3.8 | ||
| 4.5 | 2027-02-28 | 0.1% | — | $22 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.3 | ||
| 5 | 2027-02-28 | 0.1% | — | $26 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B4.8 | ||
| 5.5 | 2027-02-28 | 0.9% | — | $42 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B5.3 | ||
| 6 | 2027-02-28 | 1.0% | — | $27 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-B5.8 | ||
| ≥ 6 | 2027-02-28 | 0.7% | — | $28 | A | KXGDPYEAR-26-T6.0 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Economic Analysis | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Economic Analysis" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgdpyear-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgdpyear-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgdpyear-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X1SJDG9QQ8",
"slug": "kxgdpyear-26",
"question": "Will GDP growth in 2026 exceed 2%?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"gdp-growth",
"macroeconomics",
"economic-data",
"2026-performance",
"annual-metric"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17183,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}