Gold price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (157D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 4300 | 2027-01-08 | 48.0% | $209 | $11K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…300 | ||
| > 4400 | 2027-01-08 | 41.0% | $147 | $6.0K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…400 | ||
| > 4500 | 2027-01-08 | 28.0% | $7 | $2.4K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…500 | ||
| > 4600 | 2027-01-08 | 26.0% | — | $2.1K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…600 | ||
| > 4700 | 2027-01-08 | 18.0% | — | $289 | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…700 | ||
| > 4800 | 2027-01-08 | 22.0% | $9 | $1.3K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…800 | ||
| > 4900 | 2027-01-08 | 23.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…900 | ||
| > 5000 | 2027-01-08 | 20.0% | — | $1.0K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…000 | ||
| > 5100 | 2027-01-08 | 18.0% | — | $710 | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…100 | ||
| > 5200 | 2027-01-08 | 17.0% | $31 | $783 | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…200 | ||
| > 5300 | 2027-01-08 | 15.0% | — | $522 | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…300 | ||
| > 5400 | 2027-01-08 | 12.0% | — | $359 | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…400 | ||
| > 5500 | 2027-01-08 | 10.0% | — | $1.4K | C | KXGOLDDIRY-2…500 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Pyth - Gold | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Pyth - Gold.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - Gold" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Pyth - Gold source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgolddiry-26dec31h1700/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgolddiry-26dec31h1700 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgolddiry-26dec31h1700") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
"slug": "kxgolddiry-26dec31h1700",
"question": "Gold price, December 31, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"gold-price",
"commodities",
"eoy-2026",
"price-point",
"financial-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 29920,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Pyth - Gold",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Pyth - Gold",
"url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}