CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (219D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 285,000 2027-01-08 81.0%
$2.3K
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 300,000 2027-01-08 80.0%
$3.7K
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 325,000 2027-01-08 72.0%
$2.6K
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 350,000 2027-01-08 83.0%
$1.6K
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 375,000 2027-01-08 70.0%
$612
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 400,000 2027-01-08 58.0%
$930
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 425,000 2027-01-08 44.0%
$46
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 450,000 2027-01-08 35.0%
$544
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
≥ 500,000 2027-01-08 17.0%
$384
B KXGONORRHEAC…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff national health agencies not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 285000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "national health agencies"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgonorrheacount-27jan01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgonorrheacount-27jan01.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxgonorrheacount-27jan01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X5V7XNPS87",
  "slug": "kxgonorrheacount-27jan01",
  "question": "Above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "public-health",
    "disease-surveillance",
    "united-states",
    "std-tracking",
    "cdc-data"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 12757,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "national health agencies",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →