Who will win the governorship in Alaska? [ resolves 2026-12-03 (183D) ]
Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Begich · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 24.0% | $1 | $4.5K | A | KXGOVAK-26-TBEG | ||
| Bernadette Wilson · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 23.0% | — | $4.3K | A | KXGOVAK-26-BWIL | ||
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 20.0% | — | $3.4K | A | KXGOVAK-26-JKRE | ||
| Bill Walker · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 12.0% | — | $691 | A | KXGOVAK-26-BWAL | ||
| Treg Taylor · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 7.0% | — | $870 | A | KXGOVAK-26-TTAY | ||
| Click Bishop · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 6.9% | — | $926 | A | KXGOVAK-26-CBIS | ||
| Dave Bronson · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 5.4% | — | $470 | A | KXGOVAK-26-DBRO | ||
| Matthew Claman · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 4.1% | — | $69 | A | KXGOVAK-26-MCLA | ||
| Shelley Hughes · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 3.0% | — | $51 | A | KXGOVAK-26-SHUG | ||
| Edna DeVries · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 1.0% | — | $5 | A | KXGOVAK-26-EDEV | ||
| Adam Crum · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.8% | — | $20 | A | KXGOVAK-26-ACRU | ||
| Matt Heilala · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.5% | — | $10 | A | KXGOVAK-26-MHEI | ||
| Mary Peltola · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.2% | — | $26 | A | KXGOVAK-26-MPEL | ||
| Nancy Dahlstrom · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | — | $13 | A | KXGOVAK-26-NDAH | ||
| Lisa Murkowski · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVAK-26-LMUR | ||
| Lesil McGuire · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXGOVAK-26-LCMG |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Tom Begich is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovak-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovak-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovak-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-B206SG3QQ3",
"slug": "kxgovak-26",
"question": "Who will win the governorship in Alaska?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"gubernatorial-election",
"alaska",
"2027",
"electoral-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15429,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}