Who will win the governorship in Alaska? [ resolves 2026-12-03 (121D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treg Taylor · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 26.0% | $240 | $8.7K | C | KXGOVAK-26-TTAY | ||
| Tom Begich · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 25.0% | $58 | $9.5K | C | KXGOVAK-26-TBEG | ||
| Bernadette Wilson · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 22.0% | $55 | $5.7K | C | KXGOVAK-26-BWIL | ||
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 13.0% | $34 | $3.3K | C | KXGOVAK-26-JKRE | ||
| Click Bishop · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 7.7% | $55 | $1.4K | C | KXGOVAK-26-CBIS | ||
| Bill Walker · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 3.0% | $7 | $251 | C | KXGOVAK-26-BWAL | ||
| Shelley Hughes · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 1.0% | — | $20 | C | KXGOVAK-26-SHUG | ||
| Lesil McGuire · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 1.0% | — | $36 | C | KXGOVAK-26-LCMG | ||
| Dave Bronson · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.6% | — | $80 | C | KXGOVAK-26-DBRO | ||
| Adam Crum · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.5% | — | $16 | C | KXGOVAK-26-ACRU | ||
| Nancy Dahlstrom · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.2% | — | $27 | C | KXGOVAK-26-NDAH | ||
| Matt Heilala · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.2% | — | $12 | C | KXGOVAK-26-MHEI | ||
| Mary Peltola · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | $1 | $14 | C | KXGOVAK-26-MPEL | ||
| Edna DeVries · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | C | KXGOVAK-26-EDEV | ||
| Matthew Claman · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | $0 | $3 | C | KXGOVAK-26-MCLA | ||
| Lisa Murkowski · Who will win the governorship in Alaska? | 2026-12-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | C | KXGOVAK-26-LMUR |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Tom Begich is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" sources (14)
Fox News venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Semafor venue-listed ABC venue-listed The Information venue-listed CBS venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed The Washington Post venue-listed Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed Reuters venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed Politico venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovak-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovak-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovak-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-B206SG3QQ3",
"slug": "kxgovak-26",
"question": "Who will win the governorship in Alaska?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"gubernatorial-election",
"alaska",
"2027",
"electoral-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 29100,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}