CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? [ resolved 2026-09-01 ]

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Tom Begich · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-19 100.0%
$10 $7.1K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BEG
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-19 100.0%
$97 $13K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…KRE
Bernadette Wilson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-26 100.0%
$17 $5.3K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…WIL
Dave Bronson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-29 100.0%
$32 $3.9K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BRO
Click Bishop · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$15 $2.8K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BIS
Nancy Dahlstrom · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $249
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…DAH
Edna DeVries · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $72
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…DEV
Adam Crum · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $115
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CRU
Treg Taylor · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$119 $5.4K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…TAY
Mary Peltola · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $143
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…PEL
Shelley Hughes · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$0 $131
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…HUG
Matt Heilala · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $25
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…HEI
Matthew Claman · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $335
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CLA
Lisa Murkowski · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $45
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…MUR
Bill Walker · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$17 $1.3K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…WAL
Lesil McGuire · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
— $12
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CMG
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff relevant county clerk or board of elections not provided Kalshi Staff Other —
verbatim rules
kalshi 16 markets · share this text
If Click Bishop advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-29 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-26 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-19 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-19 100%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (16 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-08-29T13:34:58+00:00 volume-spike
    Buyers back the Alaska governor primary favorite at 84% 84% · $36K 24h
    • 84% price reflects strong consensus around a single front-runner in Alaska's top-four gubernatorial primary.
    • Kalshi sees $36K in 24h, equal to 40% of all-time volume, meaningful liquidity for a state-level race.
    • Fresh volume at 84% suggests the field has narrowed and traders are pricing out remaining challengers.
    • Resolves on the Alaska primary election result.
  • 2026-08-19T08:32:13+00:00 volume-spike
    Alaska top-four governor primary winner priced as certain 100% · $40K 24h
    • One candidate priced at 100% to advance from Alaska's top-four gubernatorial primary on Kalshi.
    • $40K in 24h is 69% of all-time volume, the single largest session by share for this contract.
    • Alaska's August primary calendar and today's date suggest results are driving the certainty print.
    • Resolves on official Alaska Division of Elections certifying the top-four primary results.
  • 2026-08-19T08:32:13+00:00 volume-spike
    Second Alaska governor primary outcome holds at 91% 91% · $38K 24h
    • A separate Alaska top-four governor primary outcome contract prices at 91%, strong but not certain.
    • $38K in 24h is 71% of all-time volume for this contract, the highest single-day share of any spike here.
    • The 9% discount alongside near-total volume concentration suggests a contested or close individual slot.
    • Resolves on Alaska's certified top-four primary list, likely a specific candidate's advancement.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovakprimary-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovakprimary-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxgovakprimary-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D03FJ4YFW7",
  "slug": "kxgovakprimary-26",
  "question": "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "alaska-governor",
    "primary-election",
    "2026",
    "top-four-primary",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 16,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 39954,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
      "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
      "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →