CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? [ resolved 2026-09-01 ]

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Tom Begich · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-19 100.0%
$10 $7.1K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BEG
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-19 100.0%
$97 $13K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…KRE
Bernadette Wilson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-26 100.0%
$17 $5.3K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…WIL
Dave Bronson · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-08-29 100.0%
$32 $3.9K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BRO
Click Bishop · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$15 $2.8K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…BIS
Nancy Dahlstrom · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$249
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…DAH
Edna DeVries · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$72
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…DEV
Adam Crum · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$115
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CRU
Treg Taylor · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$119 $5.4K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…TAY
Mary Peltola · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$143
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…PEL
Shelley Hughes · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$0 $131
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…HUG
Matt Heilala · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$25
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…HEI
Matthew Claman · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$335
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CLA
Lisa Murkowski · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$45
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…MUR
Bill Walker · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$17 $1.3K
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…WAL
Lesil McGuire · Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? 2026-09-01 0.0%
$12
A KXGOVAKPRIMA…CMG
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff relevant county clerk or board of elections not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 16 markets · share this text
If Click Bishop advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections"
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
NO Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-09-01 0%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-29 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-26 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-19 100%
YES Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? kalshi 2026-08-19 100%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (16 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-08-29T13:34:58+00:00 volume-spike
    Buyers back the Alaska governor primary favorite at 84% 84% · $36K 24h
    • 84% price reflects strong consensus around a single front-runner in Alaska's top-four gubernatorial primary.
    • Kalshi sees $36K in 24h, equal to 40% of all-time volume, meaningful liquidity for a state-level race.
    • Fresh volume at 84% suggests the field has narrowed and traders are pricing out remaining challengers.
    • Resolves on the Alaska primary election result.
  • 2026-08-19T08:32:13+00:00 volume-spike
    Alaska top-four governor primary winner priced as certain 100% · $40K 24h
    • One candidate priced at 100% to advance from Alaska's top-four gubernatorial primary on Kalshi.
    • $40K in 24h is 69% of all-time volume, the single largest session by share for this contract.
    • Alaska's August primary calendar and today's date suggest results are driving the certainty print.
    • Resolves on official Alaska Division of Elections certifying the top-four primary results.
  • 2026-08-19T08:32:13+00:00 volume-spike
    Second Alaska governor primary outcome holds at 91% 91% · $38K 24h
    • A separate Alaska top-four governor primary outcome contract prices at 91%, strong but not certain.
    • $38K in 24h is 71% of all-time volume for this contract, the highest single-day share of any spike here.
    • The 9% discount alongside near-total volume concentration suggests a contested or close individual slot.
    • Resolves on Alaska's certified top-four primary list, likely a specific candidate's advancement.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovakprimary-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovakprimary-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxgovakprimary-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D03FJ4YFW7",
  "slug": "kxgovakprimary-26",
  "question": "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "alaska-governor",
    "primary-election",
    "2026",
    "top-four-primary",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 16,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 39954,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
      "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
      "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →