CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

California Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-06 (184D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 25 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Xavier Becerra · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 90.5%
$25K $3.32M
C KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Steve Hilton · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 10.0%
$11K $491K
C KXGOVCA-26-SHIL
Toni Atkins · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$747
C KXGOVCA-26-TATK
Kyle Langford · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$847
C KXGOVCA-26-KLAN
Rick Caruso · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.0K
C KXGOVCA-26-RCAR
Chad Bianco · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$5.3K
C KXGOVCA-26-CBIA
Antonio Villaraigosa · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.1K
C KXGOVCA-26-AVIL
Stephen Cloobeck · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$976
C KXGOVCA-26-SCLO
Eleni Kounalakis · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.1K
C KXGOVCA-26-EKOU
Daniel Mercuri · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.3K
C KXGOVCA-26-DMER
Katie Porter · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$2.4K
C KXGOVCA-26-KPOR
Tony Thurmond · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$696
C KXGOVCA-26-TTHU
Butch Ware · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.2K
C KXGOVCA-26-BWAR
Betty Yee · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$828
C KXGOVCA-26-BYEE
Michael Younger · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$500
C KXGOVCA-26-MYOU
Leo Zacky · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.1K
C KXGOVCA-26-LZAC
Nicole Shanahan · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.4K
C KXGOVCA-26-NIC
Alex Padilla · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.0K
C KXGOVCA-26-ALEX
Kamala Harris · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.6K
C KXGOVCA-26-KHAR
Tom Steyer · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$5.0K
C KXGOVCA-26-TSTE
Eric Swalwell · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$2.4K
C KXGOVCA-26-ESWA
Ethan Agarwal · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$883
C KXGOVCA-26-EAGA
Rob Bonta · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.2K
C KXGOVCA-26-RBON
Ché Ahn · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$1.9K
C KXGOVCA-26-CAHN
Matt Mahan · Who will win the governorship in California? 2027-01-06 0.1%
$3.6K
C KXGOVCA-26-MMAH
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Fox News not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 25 markets · share this text
If Toni Atkins is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News"
sources (14)
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
NO Who will win the governorship in California? kalshi 2027-01-06 0%
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (23 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovca-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovca-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxgovca-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1W66SS63K4",
  "slug": "kxgovca-26",
  "question": "California Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor",
    "us-elections",
    "2026-election",
    "political-outcome",
    "state-executive"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 25,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 3847413,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 82,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Fox News",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →