California Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-06 (184D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 25 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 90.5% | $25K | $3.32M | C | KXGOVCA-26-XBEC | ||
| Steve Hilton · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 10.0% | $11K | $491K | C | KXGOVCA-26-SHIL | ||
| Toni Atkins · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $747 | C | KXGOVCA-26-TATK | ||
| Kyle Langford · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $847 | C | KXGOVCA-26-KLAN | ||
| Rick Caruso · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | C | KXGOVCA-26-RCAR | ||
| Chad Bianco · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $5.3K | C | KXGOVCA-26-CBIA | ||
| Antonio Villaraigosa · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | C | KXGOVCA-26-AVIL | ||
| Stephen Cloobeck · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $976 | C | KXGOVCA-26-SCLO | ||
| Eleni Kounalakis · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | C | KXGOVCA-26-EKOU | ||
| Daniel Mercuri · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | C | KXGOVCA-26-DMER | ||
| Katie Porter · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | C | KXGOVCA-26-KPOR | ||
| Tony Thurmond · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $696 | C | KXGOVCA-26-TTHU | ||
| Butch Ware · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | C | KXGOVCA-26-BWAR | ||
| Betty Yee · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $828 | C | KXGOVCA-26-BYEE | ||
| Michael Younger · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $500 | C | KXGOVCA-26-MYOU | ||
| Leo Zacky · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | C | KXGOVCA-26-LZAC | ||
| Nicole Shanahan · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | C | KXGOVCA-26-NIC | ||
| Alex Padilla · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | C | KXGOVCA-26-ALEX | ||
| Kamala Harris · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | C | KXGOVCA-26-KHAR | ||
| Tom Steyer · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $5.0K | C | KXGOVCA-26-TSTE | ||
| Eric Swalwell · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | C | KXGOVCA-26-ESWA | ||
| Ethan Agarwal · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $883 | C | KXGOVCA-26-EAGA | ||
| Rob Bonta · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | C | KXGOVCA-26-RBON | ||
| Ché Ahn · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $1.9K | C | KXGOVCA-26-CAHN | ||
| Matt Mahan · Who will win the governorship in California? | 2027-01-06 | 0.1% | — | $3.6K | C | KXGOVCA-26-MMAH |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Toni Atkins is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" sources (14)
- Fox News venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win the governorship in California? | kalshi | 2027-01-06 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (23 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovca-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovca-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovca-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1W66SS63K4",
"slug": "kxgovca-26",
"question": "California Governor winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-governor",
"us-elections",
"2026-election",
"political-outcome",
"state-executive"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 25,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3847413,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 82,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}