Will the top two vote-getters in the California Governor primary advance to the general election? [ resolves 2027-06-02 (364D) ]
Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 97.8% | $192K | $595K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Steve Hilton · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 84.0% | $194K | $491K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Tom Steyer · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 18.0% | $41K | $111K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…STE | ||
| Katie Porter · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.9% | $253 | $1.3K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…POR | ||
| Chad Bianco · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.5% | $3.2K | $7.3K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Ethan Agarwal · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.5% | — | $38 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…AGA | ||
| Matt Mahan · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.5% | $23 | $862 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…MAH | ||
| Betty Yee · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.4% | $0 | $45 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…YEE | ||
| Eleni Kounalakis · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.3% | $2 | $13 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…OUN | ||
| Tony Thurmond · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.3% | — | $45 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…THU | ||
| Antonio Villaraigosa · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.3% | $9 | $65 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…VIL | ||
| Kamala Harris · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.2% | $3 | $24 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…HAR | ||
| Eric Swalwell · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.2% | — | $229 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…SWA | ||
| Rick Caruso · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.1% | $1 | $25 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…CAR | ||
| Rob Bonta · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2027-06-02 | 0.1% | $1 | $6 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BON |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Eleni Kounalakis advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovcaprimary-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovcaprimary-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovcaprimary-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
"slug": "kxgovcaprimary-26",
"question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the California Governor primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-governor",
"primary-election",
"top-two-primary",
"2026",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1207075,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}