Will the top two vote-getters in the California Governor primary advance to the general election? [ resolved 2026-06-10 ]
Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-06 | 100.0% | $192K | $595K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Steve Hilton · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 100.0% | $194K | $491K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Eleni Kounalakis · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $2 | $13 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…OUN | ||
| Tom Steyer · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $41K | $111K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…STE | ||
| Betty Yee · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $0 | $45 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…YEE | ||
| Tony Thurmond · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $45 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…THU | ||
| Rick Caruso · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $1 | $25 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…CAR | ||
| Antonio Villaraigosa · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $9 | $65 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…VIL | ||
| Katie Porter · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $253 | $1.3K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…POR | ||
| Chad Bianco · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $3.2K | $7.3K | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Kamala Harris · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $3 | $24 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…HAR | ||
| Ethan Agarwal · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $38 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…AGA | ||
| Eric Swalwell · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $229 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…SWA | ||
| Rob Bonta · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $1 | $6 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…BON | ||
| Matt Mahan · Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $23 | $862 | A | KXGOVCAPRIMA…MAH |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Eleni Kounalakis advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| YES | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 100% |
| YES | Who will win California's top-two primary for governor? | kalshi | 2026-06-06 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (15 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovcaprimary-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovcaprimary-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovcaprimary-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
"slug": "kxgovcaprimary-26",
"question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the California Governor primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-governor",
"primary-election",
"top-two-primary",
"2026",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1207075,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}