Will Kim Reynolds be the Iowa Republican Governor nominee by the 2026 election? [ resolved 2026-06-03 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Lahn | 2026-06-03 | 100.0% | $557K | $869K | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…LAH | ||
| Eddie Andrews | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | — | $47 | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…AND | ||
| Brad Sherman | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $12 | $20 | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…SHE | ||
| Mike Bousselot | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | — | $5 | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…BOU | ||
| Randy Feenstra | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $5.7K | $8.4K | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…FEE | ||
| Amy Sinclair | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | — | $14 | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…SIN | ||
| Adam Steen | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $67 | $114 | A | KXGOVIANOMR-…STE |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Eddie Andrews wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Iowa Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Eddie Andrews be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brad Sherman be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mike Bousselot be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Randy Feenstra be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Amy Sinclair be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Adam Steen be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| YES | Will Zach Lahn be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (7 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Iowa GOP field folds, Lahn flows defend a locked nomination 100% · $557K 24h
- 100% price leaves no residual doubt, market treats nomination as fully resolved.
- $557K in 24h is 64% of all-time volume, an unusually heavy flush at a ceiling price.
- Volume at 100% typically reflects late entrants seeking certainty or arb close-outs.
- Resolution pending formal Republican nominating process confirmation.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovianomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovianomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovianomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-N70PDTB9T9",
"slug": "kxgovianomr-26",
"question": "Will Kim Reynolds be the Iowa Republican Governor nominee by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"2026-election",
"iowa-politics",
"republican-nominee",
"governor-race",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 877260,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}