Will Michigan have a Democratic governor nominee by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson | 2026-11-03 | 92.9% | $75 | $23K | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-JB | ||
| Chris Swanson | 2026-11-03 | 11.0% | $5 | $1.4K | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-CS | ||
| Mark Hackel | 2026-11-03 | 0.9% | — | $13 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-MH | ||
| Garlin Gilchrist | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-GG | ||
| Pete Buttigieg | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $5 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-PB | ||
| Mallory McMorrow | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-MM | ||
| Winnie Brinks | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-WB | ||
| Joe Tate | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-JT | ||
| Dan Kildee | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | C | KXGOVMINOMD-26-DK |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Garlin Gilchrist wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1)
- Republican Party venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovminomd-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovminomd-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovminomd-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
"slug": "kxgovminomd-26",
"question": "Will Michigan have a Democratic governor nominee by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"michigan-politics",
"democratic-primary",
"governor-race",
"2026-election",
"us-nominations"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 24723,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 47,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}