Will a Michigan Republican be nominated for Governor by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 46.0% | $116 | $43K | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-PJ | ||
| Will John James be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 44.0% | $828 | $46K | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-JJ | ||
| Will Mike Cox be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 5.0% | — | $886 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-MC | ||
| Will Aric Nesbitt be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 3.5% | — | $684 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-AN | ||
| Will Mike Rogers be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 2.1% | — | $34 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-MR | ||
| Will Tudor Dixon be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-TD | ||
| Will Jonathan Lindsey be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-JL | ||
| Will Dick DeVos be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-DD | ||
| Will Pete Hoekstra be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-PH | ||
| Will Tom Leonard be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-TL | ||
| Will Lisa McClain be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-LM | ||
| Will Peter Meijer be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-PM | ||
| Will Candice Miller be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-CM | ||
| Will Kevin Rinke be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-KR | ||
| Will Garrett Soldano be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVMINOMR-26-GS |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Aric Nesbitt wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovminomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovminomr-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovminomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
"slug": "kxgovminomr-26",
"question": "Will a Michigan Republican be nominated for Governor by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"michigan-politics",
"2026-election",
"republican-nomination",
"gubernatorial-race",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 89953,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}