Will the Minnesota Republican Party nominate a gubernatorial candidate by the 2026 general election? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-11 ]
Will Mike Lindell be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Demuth | 2026-08-12 | 100.0% | $327 | $25K | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…DEM | ||
| Mike Lindell | 2026-11-03 | 74.0% | $2.8K | $226K | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…LIN | ||
| Kendall Qualls | 2026-11-03 | 3.6% | $59 | $1.8K | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…QUA | ||
| Chris Madel | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $110 | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…MAD | ||
| Kristin Robbins | 2026-11-03 | 0.9% | — | $21 | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…ROB | ||
| Jim Schultz | 2026-11-03 | 0.9% | — | $14 | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…SCH | ||
| Brad Kohler | 2026-11-03 | 0.9% | — | $12 | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…KOH | ||
| Scott Jensen | 2026-11-03 | 0.7% | — | $37 | A | KXGOVMNNOMR-…JEN |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Scott Jensen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1) · single authority
Republican Party committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Lisa Demuth be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota? | kalshi | 2026-08-12 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Demuth holds as MN GOP gubernatorial favorite at 73% 73% · $58K 24h
- Market prices Demuth as a 73% favorite for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination.
- $58K in 24h volume, 30% of all-time, is the largest single-day draw on this contract.
- Volume surge points to fresh attention on the MN GOP field, possibly on a rival entering or exiting.
- Resolves YES if Demuth secures the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in 2026.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovmnnomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovmnnomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovmnnomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JRLDTRKHR2",
"slug": "kxgovmnnomr-26",
"question": "Will the Minnesota Republican Party nominate a gubernatorial candidate by the 2026 general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"minnesota-politics",
"2026-election",
"republican-primary",
"governor-race",
"nominee-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 253334,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}